基于国土空间规划信息化应用的教育专项评估研究—以厦门市同安区为例
An Assessment for Educational Special Plan Based on the Usage of Territorial Spatial Planning Informatization: A Case Study of Tong’an District, Xiamen City
作者信息：
王代锋：厦门市规划数字技术研究中心助理研究员
翁芳玲：厦门市自然资源和规划局国土空间总体规划处副处长
张欣欣：台州市空间地理信息中心开发利用科科长，工程师
李爽：厦门市规划数字技术研究中心工程师
谢炜灿：厦门市规划数字技术研究中心工程师
李然：厦门市规划数字技术研究中心工程师
张俊勇：厦门市规划数字技术研究中心助理工程师
摘要：本研究从落实生态文明理念和城市空间高质量发展的角度，围绕新形势下“以人为本”的国土空间规划实践目标，在已有数据的基础上，通过构建一套学位供需预测模型，对厦门市同安区小学未来五年学位供需进行预测，并对模型进行了验证。研究结果可提前预警小学学位缺口及其空间位置分布。本研究还探讨了近期具备成熟建设条件的小学项目与填补学位缺口之间的周期关系，并对未来学校建设时序和布局提出建议。通过将模型搭建在国土空间规划“一张图”实施监督系统的分析评价功能模块中，深化应用分析功能，可为平台使用者快速、直观地展示预测结果，并形成相关的分析报告，为城市教育管理和教育设施空间布局提供有效的规划依据。
关键词：小学学位，需求与供应，预测模型，信息化平台，空间规划，厦门市
Abstract ：From the perspective of implementing the ecology civilization notion and urban space high quality development, this study establishes a set of data-based predicting model to forecast the demand and supply of primary school degrees in the next five years in Tong’an District, Xiamen city, with a "people-oriented" territorial spacial planning practice under the new situation. And we verify the model. The predicting outcomes can pre-warn the degree gaps and their spatial distributions. Taking the short-term construction projects about primary schools into consideration, the paper discusses whether it alleviates the shortage of primary school degrees after the projects are all completed. In combination with the current problems of primary schools in Tong’an, we propose some suggestions on the primary school constructions. In addition, the model is built on the analysis and evaluation function module in the implementation supervision system of “one drawing” for territorial spacial planning, allowing the users to quickly and intuitively get the outcomes and analysis report, which provides a new reference for urban management and spatial layout planning of primary schools.
Keywords ：primary school degree, demand and supply, predicting model, information platform, spatial planning, Xiamen
文章来源：《城乡规划》2020 NO.1
